Not very exciting price wise yesterday but a small profit for the day.
I tend to shy away from horses I backed last time out that won but will make an exception today with Underworld Destiny 6.15 currently 5-1. This is A tougher ask but the strong finish LTO would suggest better to come.
Very keen on Farleigh House in the 8.15. Shorter than anticipated but 4's might appear very generous after the race.
ONLY if I am in profit after the first two will I play in the 8.45 Fillies Maiden (Double Jeopardy) where I like Pictures 8-1 back over 7f. NB K.Fallon rode the odds on fav LTO and is on Pictures today!
Posts: 104 | Location: Westbury | Registered: 26 July 2009
The stable has a 19% strike rate from 37 runners at Wolverhampton this season
When ridden by Seb, their runners have a 23% strike rate from 105 runners overall this season
Farleigh ran very well here on his penultimate start (beaten just half a length, the leading pair were 5 lengths clear of the rest) from the same mark today he should benefit from an extra furlong.
Agreed 4/1 is a big price
Posts: 593 | Location: Epsom | Registered: 27 January 2007
Farleigh ran very well here on his penultimate start (beaten just half a length, the leading pair were 5 lengths clear of the rest) from the same mark today he should benefit from an extra furlong
quote:
Very keen on Farleigh House in the 8.15. Shorter than anticipated but 4's might appear very generous after the race
Pleased that my comments on Farleigh House were vindicated in my last post but could find nothing yesterday. Although there was quantity with two meetings there was no quality for me and the only bet would have been Arty Crafty which was 4-6 at the time. Big suprise to me on viewing the results that it returned at Evens.
First race for me today is 5.45 and I am unable to split Wild Rose 11-4 and Llandovery 15-2. Given that the later was over C&D has a prefferable draw and Wild Rose LTO fig coming from Kempton being a small negative I still feel inclined to back both.
Not particularly wise to play in 2yo Sellers 7.15 but tempted by the price of Yeadon 4-1
7.45 surely has to be a nailed on win for Orpenindeed I grab evens earlier but that appears to have now gone.
Posts: 104 | Location: Westbury | Registered: 26 July 2009
Wild Rose was my saving grace on Saturday with the abysmal running of Yeadon and Orpenindeed. How optimistic I was having secured an excellent price on the later only to watch as the horse fell in to a heap when put under pressure.
así es la vida!
I am giving everything a swerve including Hallingdal and Sharpazmax in the 6.50 and my first interest will be in the 7.20 Blue Tango (Sporting Life 14-1) The worry is, this is the first meeting with form from the newly resurfaced Lingfield which recorded very slow times on the 2nd October so it hard to ignore the likely fav Cape Marien who will set the bench mark for the accuracy of my going allowance.
8.20 Daniella De Bruijn is my second selection (3-1 Sporting Life) coming back in trip after winning in above average time for a claimer at Wolvs.
Posts: 104 | Location: Westbury | Registered: 26 July 2009
The point I am making is that this is the first AWT meeting with form from the Lingfield meeting that took place on the 2nd October. The significants of this is that prior to the 2nd October the Lingfield AW course was re-laid causing a marked slow down in the times recorded on the 2nd. Cape Marien ran at that meeting.
Hope this gives greater clarity to my original post
Posts: 104 | Location: Westbury | Registered: 26 July 2009
Well spotted. To many late nights and to much Brandy
I have ingrained in to my brain 'watch out for horses that ran 2/10/09' because of Lingfield and totally overlooked the fact there was two meetings on the 2nd so sorry!
Posts: 104 | Location: Westbury | Registered: 26 July 2009
