Nice one jtw. Perhaps unsurprisingly since August 5 out of 6 losing bets have been at odds of 1.9 or over whereas 9 out of the 11 winners have been 1.6 or less (the other two being 1.75 and 1,83).
Seems like a combination of your stats and the bookies odds, presumably based on current data, could be promising for betting purposes.

Interesting facts there MUFFIN and with that in mind here's what may be a slant on this weekend's games -

After last weeks 2 winning doubles the loss is reduced to 29.85pts

FRI - WILLEM II v groningen 11-0-1 , odds - 2.8

SUN - ROMA v fiorentina 9-1-0 , odds - 2.0

At 1st glance those odds look tasty for a WILLEM win but they have not won a game yet in the EREDIVISE , after a draw on opening day they have lost the last 5 games although to be fair 4 of those teams they faced are currently in the top 10 .
GRONINGEN are only 2 places above WILLEM but have managed to win one game but in all fairness that was against HEERENVEEN [ and they are bad ]
3 home games have seen them face top 8 opposition and they have managed to pick up 2 pts on the road .

I'm thinking that Double chance might be the answer to this one [ 1.58 ] but i'll leave making a decision until later on tomorrow to check any team news .

From what i've read so far regarding WILLEM they seem to have played well last time and were considered by many to have been unlucky to lose to Feyenoord .
They have been missing a few players through injury but i can't confirm if any of those are back tonight .

On closer inspection the h2h between the 2 in this fixture actually stands at 13-0-1.

Ach to hell with it 10pts @ 2.8 on WILLEM II

WILLEM 2-1

FRI - WILLEM II v groningen 11-0-1 , odds - 2.8 2-1

SUN - ROMA v fiorentina 9-1-0 , odds - 2.0 3-1 3-1

Loss reduced to 1.85pts

OLMPIAKOS v panionios 1-0

QPR v barnsley 5-2

RANGERS v aberdeen 0-0

PSV v willem 3-1

10pt acca on all 4 at those odds methinks [returns 28.63pts]

Loss = 11.85pts

This message has been edited. Last edited by: jtw1,

BESIKTAS v denilzspor 7-0-0 , odds - 1.25

FEHNERBACHE v g.birligi 8-1-0 , odds - 1.4

SP LISBON v belenenses 12-0-0 , odds - 1.3

PAOK v iraklis 8-0-1 , odds - 1.6

Well i suppose i have to trust the stats but BESIKTAS are playing nowhere near they were last season but the whole idea of a system is to remove the 'human ' element in the choice so ........

10pts double BESIKTAS / PAOK returns 20pts

10pt double FEHNER / SP LISBON returns 18.20pts

They certainly left it late [87th min ] but 1-0 PAOK , means we finished as we started this weekend .

BESIKTAS v denilzspor 1-0

FEHNERBACHE v g.birligi 3-0

SP LISBON v belenenses 0-0

PAOK v iraklis 1-0

ANDERLECHT v charleroi 9-0-1 , odds - 1.28

AJAX v willem 13-1-0 , odds - 1.16

10pt double returns 14.85pts to be used as stake for the next bet [ assuming they win that is !! ]

ANDERLECHT 2-0

AJAX 4-2

So that gives us 14.85pts to invest in the next bet

S.LIBEREC v pribram 7-0-0 , odds - 1.61

PANATHINAIKOS v paok 9-0-1 , odds - 1.4

FEHNERBACHE v g'tasaray 9-0-0 , odds - 2.2

PORTO v academica 8-1-0 , odds - 1.16.

Bet1 will be the 14.85pts from last week onto S.LIBEREC in the Czech Gambinus league @ 1.65 .

Bet 2 will be 10pt double PANA/PORTO which returns 16.24pts

Bet 3 is a straight 10pt win on FEHNERBACHE @ 2.2.

Bet 1 - S.LIBEREC win 1-0 returns = 24.50pts

S.LIBEREC 1-0

PANATHINAIKOS 2-1

FEHNERBACHE 3-1

PORTO 3-2

Since the start of the main Euro leagues [ 7th Aug] there have been 33 games where there has been 7+ game advantage .
Of those we have had 25 winners and 8 losers .

Profit to recommended bets now in the black = +22.48pts

On Weds there is another game to consider and thats over in Portugal where V.guimaraes are at home to Sporting Lisbon .
The away side have a h2h record of 1-0-8 in recent seasons .

Stake 10pts @ 1.9

SPORTING drew 1-1 so we're back down to +12.48pts

CELTIC v killie 16-1-0 , odds - 1.22

BESIKTAS v ankaragucu 9-0-1 , odds - 1.3

PSV v vitesse 12-0-1 , odds - 1.16

CLUB BRUGGE v sint truiden 12-1-0 , odds - 1.25

PANATHINAIKOS v panionios 9-0-0 , odds - 1.25

GENK v cercle brugge 7-0-0 , odds - 1.8

All odds are Bet365.

10pt double GENK / PSV returns 20.88pts

10pt acca BESIKTAS / BRUGGE / PANA / CELTIC returns 24.78pts

quote:

Originally posted by jtw1:

quote:

Originally posted by jtw1:
SPORTING drew 1-1 so we're back down to +12.48pts

CELTIC v killie 2-0

BESIKTAS v ankaragucu 1-0

PSV v vitesse 1-0

CLUB BRUGGE v sint truiden 1-0

PANATHINAIKOS v panionios 2-1

GENK v cercle brugge 7-0-0 , odds - 1.8 [MONDAY]

All odds are Bet365.

10pt double GENK / PSV returns 20.88pts

10pt acca BESIKTAS / BRUGGE / PANA / CELTIC returns 24.78pts

Nice one dude

CELTIC v killie 2-0

BESIKTAS v ankaragucu 1-0

PSV v vitesse 1-0

CLUB BRUGGE v sint truiden 1-0

PANATHINAIKOS v panionios 2-1

GENK v cercle brugge 2-0



Thats better Profit = 38.14pts

Hi there jtw1, im just curious how much do u bet for 10 pts?

My secret mate , seriously i don't post actual amounts as it's easier to keep track of things on the thread by sticking to a level stake.

Only 2 on Saturday -

OLYMPIAKOS v iraklis 9-0-0 , odds - 1.2

G.B.A v sintruiden 12-1-0 , odds - 1.66

Odds from Corals

10pt double returns 19.92pts

i;ll follow and bet on asian handicap which is gba - 1 and olympiakos -1.75

OLYMPIAKOS v iraklis 1-1 one of those 90th min equaliser's , so you can assume it was really one of those 93rd or 94th min last-kick-of-the-ball goals

G.B.A v sintruiden 4-1

RANGERS v kilmarnock 15-0-1 , odds - 1.28

BAYERN MUNICH v leverkusen 13-1-0 , 1.83

Returns 23.42pts to a 10pt stake .

wish us luck

RANGERS v kilmarnock 3-0

BAYERN MUNICH v leverkusen 1-1