I recently posted this on my h2h thread and as promised i'm going to start a thread after researching the stats from those results .
Here's what the post was about -
----------------------------------------------------------- Have had a bit of a look back at the stats since i started this thead on the 4th of March last year. I only considered those games where one side had a 7+ game h2h advantage over their opponents and it was interesting .
Total No of games = 63 No of winners = 43
Longest Losing run = 3 Longest Winning run = 7 [ twice ]
Winning Odds ranged from 1.16 to 2.5
If a 1pt win single had been placed on those teams then a profit of 92.36pts would have been achieved.
I am definately going to follow these teams from now on and will post on a separate thread and will stake according to the odds on offer.
So here goes , REAL MONEY involved and i'm going to try and get a return of 50% or more on each investment . That means if the selection is 1.5 or better then it will be a win single . If , as you will observe this week , they are well under the 1.5 limit then Doubles or even Trebles will suffice.
Qualifiers for SAT/SUN -
RANGERS are 13-0-1 v Kilmarnock @ 1.25
PSV are 9-0-0 v Sparta @ 1.14
BARCELONA are 11-0-0 v Santander @ 1.28
AJAX are 11-1-1 v Roda @ 1.33
* Note , Due to the fact that the SPL teams play each other twice at home and away the stats for that league can be exagerated , so Rangers are just below the official limit of 7 but if we go back a bit further the stats are 15-0-2 which takes them just Over the 7 game advantage limit so i'm willing to take the chance.
Originally posted by jtw1: Certainly , considering the odds , there was no walkovers out of those 4 !!
Great idea mate - and great thread.
Personally, I think that the fact that you're betting on these "obvious" targets means that you will NOT get the prices that you need for it to be a success ....
.. but I am very, very interested to see what happens.
Originally posted by jtw1: Certainly , considering the odds , there was no walkovers out of those 4 !!
Great idea mate - and great thread.
Personally, I think that the fact that you're betting on these "obvious" targets means that you will NOT get the prices that you need for it to be a success ....
.. but I am very, very interested to see what happens.
Thanks GOONER and i'm hopeful that there will be a few less obvious selections to be found at better odds than last weekends were ..
hey buddu can you explain again...From March last year until the start of this thread if you bet 1 pts per bet how much you would be on profit...cuz if its 9 pts for a year and a half i just dont get it ...please explain again buddy
Basically from 4th MARCH of 2007 until 11th SEP of this year [2008] if you had placed 1pt win on each team with a 7+ game advantage ,then you would have a profit of 9+ pts .
The majority of the selections were around the 1.2 - 1.5 mark.
Heres a list of those games that LOST - 1.4, 1.5 , 1.66 , ? , 1.22 , 1.65 , 1.6 , 1.95 , 1.57 , 1.9 , 2.62 , 2.7 , 1.9 , 1. 9 ,2.37 , 1.25 , 1.57 , 1.5 , 1.57 , 3.0 . So you can see that those games under 1.5 failed VERY rarely .
What i'm now trying to do is maximise the potential winnings from these stats by using doubles/trebles .
Hope that clears a few things up , but anyone has any other query's please feel free to ask
